At 46:40 person - Annie Duke talks about trying to find an objective probability of some thing, and how if you don't assign a probability then you are basically saying you are certain that something will or won't happen. But when you try to assign a probability instead... when you have a goal of getting to the objective probability, versus being right, then you will be more open to contrary evidence because you are simply information hungry.
...
assigning a probability seems related to hypothesis articulation
...
being more open to contrary evidence because you are simply information hungry